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Why we keep using the wrong chart on critical minerals

China’s real leverage may come less from refining dominance than from its overwhelming share of global industrial demand.

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Henry Sanderson
May 17, 2026
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The most popular chart in the critical minerals world shows China’s dominance of refining and processing. It appears in almost every presentation on energy security and usually points to the same conclusion: China controls the supply chain.

I’ve used the chart myself. But increasingly I think it points us toward the wrong conclusion.

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